Okay, you can stop rolling your eyes now. We’re fully aware that mighty Green Bay has met every challenge this gambling season, but with TWO division hosters on deck to conclude the campaign, we expect the undefeated Pack to slack here at Arrowhead Stadium.
Before scoffing too loudly, you should realize that the loss of star WR Greg Jennings to a knee sprain (out 2-3 weeks) is a major blow to the Cheeseheads’ chances of attaining perfection.
And when it comes to today’s role, Packers head coach Mike McCarthy is just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS as a non-division road favorite versus a foe off a SU and ATS loss.
In addition, it’s possible that the woeful Chiefs could experience the ‘Del Rio Effect’ today; i.e., turn in a decent performance to celebrate the dismissal of a clueless head coach.
Todd Haley, who left Arizona after the Cardinals’ Super Bowl season in 2008 to take the reins in Kansas City, was issued his pink slip this week and Romeo Crennel, something of a coaching refugee himself, becomes interim leader.
Crennel can claim a 3-1-1 ATS log with Cleveland as a dog of more than 7 points against NFC opposition and the Chiefs chips in with an 18-7 ATS record as home dogs of more than 4 points, including 4-0 ATS from Game Fourteen out.
Remember, we’re not asking Geronimo to win the whole game here.
With the Pack covering just four out of its last seven games, we’ll back the 14-point home dog with over 50 YPG the better defense. Besides, Geronimo was our kind of chief – expelled from church for gambling!
Sportsbooks currently have the Packers listed as 14-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game's total is sitting at 46½.
Green Bay most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on grass are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing outside the division are 10-0
Kansas City most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 3-7
