The South Florida Bulls and the Syracuse Orange will fight to pick up a victory on Friday at Carrier Dome.
Wasn’t it philosopher George Santayana who said, ‘those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.’ (Then again, maybe it was Gambling Advisor blog proverb from back in the day.)
Well, we clearly remember South Florida laying points on the road earlier this season at Pittsburgh and Connecticut and we weren’t about to repeat the mistakes we made analyzing those matchups.
We used the Bulls in both games (even as a 5* Best Bet against UConn) but quickly wised up last week as we grabbed Rutgers and the points versus visiting USF.
We’ve been known to be Taurus the Bull-like stubborn, but fool us twice, shame on us.
And despite a lifetime series history that favors South Florida (5-1 SU and ATS, including 3-0 SU and ATS at the Carrier Dome), there’s no shame in backing tonight’s Homecoming dogs under the Friday night lights as the Orange are already 2-0 SU and ATS this season in weekday tilts.
Toss in USF’s unprepared 2-9 ATS weekday log and you can see why we have no interest in backing a favorite who is coming off an overtime loss.
Or a coach (Skip Holtz) that is at his best when taking points (28-11-1 ATS) – not laying them (17-25 ATS).
Skippy and his Bulls may ‘squeeze’ out the SU win but, like our trips to a China shop, we’re not buying any of it. You know what to do.
Sportsbooks currently have the Bulls listed as 4-point favorites versus the Orange, while the game's total is sitting at 52½.
South Florida most recently:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 3-7
Syracuse most recently:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 4-6
